I recently published an article entitled: What if we Find Nothing in our Search for Life Beyond Earth.
But what should we think about extraterrestrial (ET) visitation or communication when one of NASA’s best says there is no way? Why should we believe him when the science does not support his opinions on this matter?
Joseph Richard Gutheinz, A former NASA official, is casting doubt on the idea of ETs ever visiting Earth. He has a career span with NASA of over three decades.
Gutheinz is a highly respected figure in the field of space law and a retired senior special agent with NASA’s Office of Inspector General. He has made significant contributions to investigating and prosecuting space-related crimes. His reputation is one of promoting awareness of the importance of protecting outer space from exploitation and misuse.
Throughout his distinguished career, Gutheinz has demonstrated a deep commitment to upholding the principles of justice and integrity in space exploration. His opinions on space law matter. However, his rant about UFOs is not about space law. I find his statements on the matter inconsistent with the science.
Gutheinz focused on investigating and prosecuting space exploration and satellite technology-related crimes throughout his tenure at NASA. His work involved uncovering fraud, theft, and other illicit activities that threatened the integrity of the space program. Gutheinz’s expertise in space law and dedication to upholding ethical standards made him a valuable asset to the NASA Inspector General’s office.
Gutheinz’s most notable accomplishment was his work on Operation “Dipper,” a sting operation aimed at apprehending individuals trying to sell fake moon rocks. His efforts led to the recovery of numerous stolen moon rocks and the prosecution of several individuals involved in the illegal trade of space artifacts.
In addition to his work on Operation Dipper, he has been a vocal advocate for protecting outer space from exploitation and contamination. Space debris is a subject close to me, and I have written about it several times. Gutheinz has spoken at numerous conferences and events, raising awareness about the need to preserve the integrity of celestial bodies and prevent unauthorized activities in space. That is a subject that speaks to me. One I published on the subject is entitled: The Reality of Space Junk Proliferation.
Gutheinz’s passion for space law and dedication to promoting ethical behavior in the aerospace industry have earned him a reputation as a respected authority. So, what does he think about ET visitation?
Speaking to Fox News Digital regarding ETs and UFOs, he said it’s time to apply science, not speculation, to the debate. “Prove it. Honestly, prove it,” he said to those who believe in the presence of UFOs on Earth. “They’ve been claiming that there have been UFOs since the 1940s. And, you know, Area 51 supposedly houses UFOs,” he told Fox News Digital. “Have someone go in, look at Area 51.”
His attitude speaks to another article I published entitled: Extraterrestrial Existence: Fate, Destiny, Faith, and Belief.
Gutheinz said that during his work with the NASA Office of Inspector General, he would regularly get calls from individuals who believed they were abducted or had a chip in their brain from aliens.
“What I used to tell my students was the possibility of anybody coming from another world visiting us was beyond unlikely,” he said. “And what I would tell the people that would call me up with these tales about being visited by aliens, see a psychiatrist.”
When I came across the article, I found his comments somewhat narrow and closed-minded for a man of his background. NASA’s position on the matter is much more open minded.
Gutheinz went on to cite astronomical distances and scientific understanding of the solar system; he explained the improbability of any extraterrestrial visitors reaching Earth. However, the scientific community is leaning heavily in the opposite direction, based on the science.
Gutheinz further stated: “There are up to 400 billion stars in the Milky Way. There are maybe one to two trillion galaxies in the universe. But the reality is this: The closest solar system is Alpha Centauri. Alpha Centauri A, B and Proxima Centauri are the closest stars,” he said.
“The bottom line is that it’s 4.4 light years away, or 25 trillion miles away. And if somebody started flying to Proxima and Satori, or the other way around, it would take them over 70,000 years to get there,” he said. “Nobody is visiting us from another world, likely.”
He pointed to moons like Europa, Ganymede, Titan, and Triton as the only plausible places for primitive life in our solar system. “If there is life on any of those moons, it’s possible. Again, it is primitive; it is microorganisms; it’s nothing that will visit us in a flying saucer.”
When asked whether such sightings could be explained as natural or spiritual phenomena, he suggested that it could be government testing. “If you’re seeing something up there, and it’s real, it’s coming from the Chinese or the Russians or your next-door neighbor flying around with their drone,” he said.
Historical military secrecy, Gutheinz suggested, may have played a significant role in fostering the UFO myths. “I believe early on in the 1940s, when all these UFO stories started coming up, it was because the military was probably testing some aircraft, and they didn’t want the Russians to know about it,” he said.
“And so, the UFO cover worked, and I would not be surprised if there are some people in the military and the government that played along with that to conceal our stealth technology; that is really remarkable, and they just don’t want to share that with other countries.” “The bottom line is that we use the UFO cover to hide many things.”
What makes anybody think his commentary on the subject is credible?
In recognition of his contributions to space law and his commitment to upholding the principles of justice, Joseph Richard Gutheinz has received several accolades and honors throughout his career. He has been lauded for his investigative work on space-related crimes and his efforts to combat illegal activities in the aerospace sector. Gutheinz’s dedication to promoting ethical behavior in space exploration has earned him the admiration of his peers and the broader scientific community.
As a retired senior special agent with NASA’s Office of Inspector General, Gutheinz continues to play a crucial role in shaping the future of space law and promoting ethical practices in the aerospace industry. This is also a subject I have written about. Who Owns Outer Space and What are its Sovereign Boundaries?
His work has had a lasting impact on space exploration, and his legacy is a testament to the importance of upholding integrity and justice in all aspects of human endeavor.
He is a pioneering space law figure whose dedication and expertise have shaped the trajectory of space exploration for future generations. His commitment to upholding ethical standards and his relentless pursuit of justice have made him a respected authority in the aerospace industry. Gutheinz’s contributions to the investigation and prosecution of space-related crimes and his advocacy for the protection of outer space have solidified his reputation as a trailblazer in space law.
As humanity continues to explore the vast reaches of the cosmos, Joseph Richard Gutheinz’s legacy will endure as a beacon of integrity and ethics in pursuing knowledge and discovery.
You can’t question his reputation in space law, and I greatly respect his contributions. However, his anti-extraterrestrial commentary crosses the line from law into science. Just how much evidence does one need to believe something is true?
Here are just some of the points he fails to address in his commentary:
- There is no consideration for the millions of public and private dollars invested yearly in the search for ETs. That search has revealed much that suggests the possibility is now much more much probable.
- The known universe is estimated to be 15 billion years old, and the Earth is estimated to be 4.5 to 5 billion years old. That enormous gap allows more than enough time, as we understand time, for ET civilizations to develop and become far more technically advanced than we are in every way. ET technology may include the ability to manipulate space-time.
- Gutheinz speaks about the application of science in support of his position however, the science is loudly saying the probability of intelligent ET life is high. He did not do his homework at all. He speaks with the mindset of a lawyer and not a man of science.
- There is a library’s worth of evidence from ancient civilizations worldwide that demonstrate ETs were likely involved in those civilizations in numerous ways.
- The government cover-up idea he puts out there is interesting. Conspiracy theory believers tend to believe that governments are hiding ET’s existence information and proof. Unless I misunderstand, Gutheinz is suggesting the government is instigating the UFO narrative intentionally to cover up military secrets. It’s an interesting twist, but it seems highly unlikely. It may be a combination of both. He offers no evidence of either case, just his opinion. As a high-ranking NASA guy, you would think he would be bound by a gag order if his statements were true.
I could go on citing reasons to refute Gutheinz’s opinions forever, but the point is made. The question of ET existence is one of the biggest cosmic questions out there. If you take a statistical approach, the answer depends on how you frame the odds.
Some researchers, like Columbia astronomer David Kipping, have used Bayesian statistics to weigh the likelihood of life and intelligence emerging elsewhere.
Bayesian statistics is a framework for updating beliefs based on new evidence. Instead of giving a single fixed answer, it allows you to express uncertainty and refine your estimates as more data becomes available. Consider adjusting your expectations as you learn more about a situation.
In the context of intelligent life in the universe, Kipping used Bayesian inference to explore four possibilities:
- Life is every day, and intelligence often evolves
- Life is rare, but intelligence often evolves
- Life is every day, but intelligence rarely evolves
- Life is rare, and intelligence rarely evolves
By comparing these scenarios using Earth’s evolutionary timeline as a data point, Kipping found that the scenario where life occurs every day is at least nine times more likely than the one where life is rare. Intelligence, however, appears to be less predictable, his analysis suggested it might be rarer.
Bayesian methods are instrumental because we have only one known example; Earth. It’s like trying to guess the rules of a game after watching just one round. However, Bayesian reasoning lets us maximize that single round by combining prior assumptions with observed outcomes.
His analysis suggests that life is more likely to be common than rare and that intelligence, while harder to evolve, isn’t necessarily unique to Earth.
Conversely, an Oxford Future of Humanity Institute study argues that intelligent life is scarce. Their reasoning? It took Earth about 4.5 billion years and a series of highly improbable evolutionary leaps to go from simple cells to humans. They suggest that the odds of those same steps happening elsewhere, before a planet becomes uninhabitable, are vanishingly small.
And then there’s a newer perspective from Penn State researchers, who challenge the idea that intelligence is a cosmic fluke. They propose that intelligence might be a natural outcome of planetary evolution, not just a lucky accident. If that’s true, intelligent life would be far more common than we’ve assumed. That concept makes a lot of sense to me personally.
An important piece of this giant cosmic puzzle it the theological position.
There was a time in our history not so long ago, when people were burned at the stake for believing in intelligent life in the universe other than humans. Today, even religious theologians and church leadership generally agree that intelligent ET life is out there, and contact is likely imminent. They have upgraded their position based on the science.
Consider these articles I also published on that subject:
The Extraterrestrial Crossroads of science and God
The Priest Who Proposed the Big Bang Theory.
In my mind, based on much research and science, to deny the existence of other intelligent life out there in the universe is very short sighted. Even if those claims come from a respected NASA career legal hero.
The question in my mind is about establishing communication and physical contact.
Sources:
- De Bary, W. T., & Tu, W. (Eds.). (2006). Sources of Chinese tradition: From 1600 through the twentieth century (Vol. 2). Columbia University Press.
- DeMott, B. (2019). The Last Man on the Moon. St. Martin’s Publishing Group.
- Gutheinz, J. R. (2019). Lunar Legacy: Oral Histories of NASA Flight Controllers, Rocket Scientists, Apollo Astronauts, and the Men Who Lead Mission Control. Tate Publishing & Enterprises.
- Smith, L. M. (2000). Moonwalk: The last Apollo mission. Basic Books.
- Joseph Gutheinz, a retired senior special agent with NASA’s Office of Inspector General and current criminal defense attorney.
- Sarah Rumpf-Whitten Fox News. Published June 15, 2025.
- Columbia News: New Study Estimates the Odds of Life and Intelligence Emerging Beyond Our Planet | Columbia News
- We’re all alone: Oxford study says chance of intelligent life elsewhere very low | The Times of Israel
- SciTech Dailey: Are We Alone? Scientists Uncover Evidence That Intelligence May Be Inevitable